Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.219502 0.262019 0.309770 0.367256 0.434462 0.510416 0.602636
2025-02-16 0.152620 0.205823 0.272403 0.361341 0.476467 0.619836 0.811197
2025-02-23 0.113553 0.168013 0.241946 0.348628 0.497400 0.696076 0.979736
2025-03-02 0.086731 0.138904 0.214792 0.331613 0.504890 0.749923 1.119422
2025-03-09 0.074307 0.127319 0.209065 0.341920 0.549339 0.856800 1.341602
2025-03-16 0.059938 0.109575 0.190504 0.328960 0.555764 0.907026 1.484215
2025-03-23 0.052555 0.101747 0.185982 0.336695 0.594069 1.007985 1.712532
2025-03-30 0.046222 0.094471 0.180986 0.342393 0.628870 1.105869 1.944448
2025-04-06 0.039643 0.085461 0.171407 0.338405 0.646057 1.175668 2.135912
2025-04-13 0.034276 0.077770 0.162948 0.334960 0.663179 1.246125 2.333931
2025-04-20 0.031337 0.074468 0.162266 0.345793 0.707083 1.366736 2.629265
2025-04-27 0.030714 0.075973 0.171238 0.376363 0.791095 1.566334 3.082310
2025-05-04 0.028134 0.072899 0.170822 0.388953 0.843607 1.716450 3.465268
2025-05-11 0.024477 0.066666 0.162839 0.384949 0.863042 1.807028 3.747192
2025-05-18 0.020715 0.059386 0.151329 0.371606 0.861419 1.856232 3.953660
2025-05-25 0.017259 0.052119 0.138600 0.353564 0.847318 1.878633 4.108532
2025-06-01 0.015953 0.050292 0.138510 0.364499 0.897463 2.036243 4.549129
2025-06-08 0.013548 0.044877 0.128651 0.350749 0.890454 2.073575 4.744774
2025-06-15 0.012485 0.043120 0.127835 0.358956 0.934728 2.223961 5.190206
2025-06-22 0.011441 0.041194 0.126259 0.365001 0.974486 2.367867 5.633426
2025-06-29 0.010125 0.038113 0.121018 0.360770 0.988801 2.456218 5.962268
2025-07-06 0.008993 0.035367 0.116256 0.357116 1.004041 2.547846 6.305732
2025-07-13 0.008459 0.034546 0.116971 0.368607 1.059006 2.736262 6.883692